Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.004236 0.004452 0.004673 0.004918 0.005182 0.005457 0.005767
2025-11-23 0.003862 0.004179 0.004519 0.004910 0.005352 0.005836 0.006411
2025-11-30 0.003584 0.003952 0.004357 0.004839 0.005400 0.006036 0.006820
2025-12-07 0.003375 0.003778 0.004230 0.004781 0.005438 0.006205 0.007181
2025-12-14 0.003232 0.003664 0.004158 0.004772 0.005523 0.006422 0.007597
2025-12-21 0.003038 0.003478 0.003988 0.004632 0.005434 0.006413 0.007725
2025-12-28 0.002946 0.003407 0.003949 0.004645 0.005528 0.006630 0.008143
2026-01-04 0.002884 0.003366 0.003943 0.004694 0.005666 0.006905 0.008649
2026-01-11 0.002789 0.003281 0.003877 0.004663 0.005695 0.007036 0.008965
2026-01-18 0.002713 0.003216 0.003831 0.004654 0.005751 0.007201 0.009334
2026-01-25 0.002631 0.003139 0.003767 0.004617 0.005765 0.007308 0.009623
2026-02-01 0.002605 0.003133 0.003792 0.004696 0.005937 0.007638 0.010251
2026-02-08 0.002531 0.003062 0.003732 0.004660 0.005952 0.007749 0.010566
2026-02-15 0.002473 0.003011 0.003695 0.004653 0.006005 0.007917 0.010977
2026-02-22 0.002396 0.002931 0.003617 0.004587 0.005971 0.007954 0.011183
2026-03-01 0.002327 0.002861 0.003550 0.004533 0.005950 0.008008 0.011417
2026-03-08 0.002281 0.002818 0.003518 0.004525 0.005995 0.008161 0.011821
2026-03-15 0.002191 0.002715 0.003401 0.004395 0.005855 0.008025 0.011735
2026-03-22 0.002157 0.002687 0.003386 0.004407 0.005925 0.008215 0.012208
2026-03-29 0.002137 0.002677 0.003394 0.004453 0.006047 0.008492 0.012848
2026-04-05 0.002092 0.002631 0.003352 0.004424 0.006053 0.008583 0.013166
2026-04-12 0.002057 0.002597 0.003324 0.004415 0.006090 0.008725 0.013585
2026-04-19 0.002014 0.002552 0.003281 0.004381 0.006086 0.008797 0.013879